Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Kuzari Principle, Round 3

Another round of discussion on Kuzari.

Is it rational to believe that a nation of former slaves, the Hebrews, experienced a mass Divine revelation at Sinai?

Frankly, I don’t know. I do know, however, that the so-called Kuzari Principle is insufficient as a basis for said belief. I have written many posts on the Kuzari Principle and I have answered many challenges. Let me briefly summarize these posts:
Round 1:
Round 2:
We now enter Round 3, a discussion of a new logical proof (rKP) developed by Sam Lebens at Philosophy of Judaism. Lebens is a philosophy doctorate and, based on our online exchange, a decent fellow. His proof, however, doesn't sway me.

Here is the full proof, which I will comment on afterward:
(rKP1) A myth will not initially find any traction with a culture who know it to be historically inaccurate, although once it has been adopted and becomes culturally significant, then a culture will not abandon it merely because of its historical inaccuracies.

(rKP2) The generations of a g-chain will not accept a g-narrative about them unless:
  1. The generation is the first in the g-chain and witnessed the events for themselves, or
  2. The generation received the g-narrative as an inheritance from their parents, although each generation after the first may have members outside of the core of the g-chain who adopt the g-narrative as they join or merge with the community and adopt its history as their own, or
  3. The entire generation becomes convinced, presumably only with a large amount of evidence, that a g-chain that was supposed to have reached them was broken – this doesn’t seem to be the case with the small number of Jewish g-narratives, all of which seem to stretch right back into the mist of Jewish pre-history.
(rKP3) G-narratives can be subject to slow corruption and exaggeration. Thus, the fact that a g-narrative is widespread among a contemporary generation of a g-chain is no reason to believe that that g-narrative presents an accurate history.

(rKP4) The original g-narrative, before any corruption or exaggeration, must have been sufficiently impressive in and of itself to have initiated a sustained desire to transmit the story down a g-chain.

(rKP5) There are a small number of remarkable and widespread g-narratives about the Jewish people, about mass revelation and divine deliverance. These narratives are still transmitted to the majority of Jewish children by their parents at events like the Seder Night, in which Jewish parents recount the exodus from Egypt for the benefit of their children. This ritual retelling is even conducted by a very large number of Jews who no longer believe in the historical accuracy of the narrative.

(rKP6) Given (rKP3), the fact that these g-narratives are widespread among the living members of the Jewish g-chain is no reason to trust the historical accuracy of the stories.

(rKP7) But, given (rKP2) and (rKP4), the fact that these g-narratives are widespread does provide good reason to believe that the story wasn’t initially adopted by a generation to whom the story didn’t actually happen, and that the story is grounded in fact even if it’s been distorted, and that the facts, in and of themselves, were sufficiently impressive to generate the very long lasting feeling of cultural obligation to pass the story on down the g-chain.

(rKP8) We have no reason to believe that the details of Jewish g-narratives are historically accurate, but we do have reason to believe that they are grounded in extraordinary facts witnessed by an entire generation of the g-chain.

(rKP9) Therefore, we have good grounds to believe that an entire generation of the forbears of the Jewish people, or an entire generation of a tribe that would later amalgamate into an emergent Jewish people, were collectively witness to an extraordinary sequence of supernatural events, and events that would have been collectively understood as Divine revelation
In discussions with Lebens, I pointed out immediately that rKP1 made me uncomfortable. We have no reason to think it's true and we probably have better reason to think it's false. Some clarity may be gained by defining the term "myth," but otherwise I don't know what to do with rKP1.

At this point, Lebens wanted to shelve the issue of rKP1's possible vagueness (and falsity) and move to whether, given rKP1, the whole rKP argument worked. I appreciate his desire to move on, but I think it's a mistake to do so. I have had many conversations with Kuzari proponents, and I've always been struck with the willingness for vagueness on terms such as "myth" and "acceptance." To me, any argument using Kuzari should require specificity because myth evolution and cultural development are complex forces. If we cannot be sufficiently clear in our terms, how can we hope to say anything true and useful?

One quick example to illustrate: If I talk about the role of the King of England, that role is very different in the twentieth century ( I know we are now in the 21at century) than it was in 1520 or 1214. The term means very different things across the three dates. Consider, then, how we might assess whether a myth, story, or meme gained "traction" (see rKP1) in an ancient Near Eastern culture? Any point we want to make about "traction" would need to consider what the term meant in that world and then meant later. Thus, if "traction" meant something like "repeated approvingly by the priesthood" and then later developed into "a tenet of orthodox belief," we would want to know--the validity and soundness of our arguments would depend on it.

Throwing my discomfort with terminology and anachronism aside, let me use the following table to introduce my view of the rKP. The right-hand column offers my "translation" of Lebens's revised Kuzari argument. I have translated it to make clear my understanding of rKP's essential arguments. I have translated "myth" as "meme" because I think "meme" has less semantic baggage and actually names the essential part of what "myth" seeks to convey.

Revised Kuzari Premise (Lebens)Larry's Translation
(rKP1) A myth will not initially find any traction with a culture who know it to be historically inaccurate, although once it has been adopted and becomes culturally significant, then a culture will not abandon it merely because of its historical inaccuracies.A meme will "stick" if it contains some historical factuality.
(rKP2) The generations of a g-chain will not accept a g-narrative about them unless:
  1. The generation is the first in the g-chain and witnessed the events for themselves, or
  2. The generation received the g-narrative as an inheritance from their parents, although each generation after the first may have members outside of the core of the g-chain who adopt the g-narrative as they join or merge with the community and adopt its history as their own, or
  3. The entire generation becomes convinced, presumably only with a large amount of evidence, that a g-chain that was supposed to have reached them was broken – this doesn’t seem to be the case with the small number of Jewish g-narratives, all of which seem to stretch right back into the mist of Jewish pre-history.
A special meme will stick if it has some historical witnesses, if it is told to children by parents, or if it is subject to whatever rKP2c means.
(rKP3) G-narratives can be subject to slow corruption and exaggeration. Thus, the fact that a g-narrative is widespread among a contemporary generation of a g-chain is no reason to believe that that g-narrative presents an accurate history.Special memes can change in their content.
(rKP4) The original g-narrative, before any corruption or exaggeration, must have been sufficiently impressive in and of itself to have initiated a sustained desire to transmit the story down a g-chain.Special memes must be originally impressive.
(rKP5) There are a small number of remarkable and widespread g-narratives about the Jewish people, about mass revelation and divine deliverance. These narratives are still transmitted to the majority of Jewish children by their parents at events like the Seder Night, in which Jewish parents recount the exodus from Egypt for the benefit of their children. This ritual retelling is even conducted by a very large number of Jews who no longer believe in the historical accuracy of the narrative.Some special memes are still transmitted today.
(rKP6) Given (rKP3), the fact that these g-narratives are widespread among the living members of the Jewish g-chain is no reason to trust the historical accuracy of the stories.Widespread prevalence of special memes doesn’t tell us about their historical accuracy.
(rKP7) But, given (rKP2) and (rKP4), the fact that these g-narratives are widespread does provide good reason to believe that the story wasn’t initially adopted by a generation to whom the story didn’t actually happen, and that the story is grounded in fact even if it’s been distorted, and that the facts, in and of themselves, were sufficiently impressive to generate the very long lasting feeling of cultural obligation to pass the story on down the g-chain.Widespread prevalence of special memes does tell us that they were accepted--in whatever form they originated--by a first generation.
(rKP8) We have no reason to believe that the details of Jewish g-narratives are historically accurate, but we do have reason to believe that they are grounded in extraordinary facts witnessed by an entire generation of the g-chain.Widespread prevalence of a special meme gives us reason to think that the first generation found the special meme sufficiently impressive.
(rKP9) Therefore, we have good grounds to believe that an entire generation of the forbears of the Jewish people, or an entire generation of a tribe that would later amalgamate into an emergent Jewish people, were collectively witness to an extraordinary sequence of supernatural events, and events that would have been collectively understood as Divine revelation.The first generation witnessed something impressive.

Is this a "better" Kuzari-based argument than others, such as Gottlieb's? It depends on one's criteria for better. To me, it's great omission is that it doesn't account for memes that change their importance or their meaning over time. My earlier Kuzari posts addressed this matter. Some memes acquire a place of centrality years after they first "stick," and this acquisition can  happen for any number of reasons. With respect to the Bible, I recommend my reading of James Kugel's How to Read the Bible because the book focuses on how Israel's ancient library of texts became the Bible.

Personally, I think Gottlieb's argument is more forceful:
In modern language the principle that the Kuzari uses is as follows. I beg you to look at it, hear it, and pay close attention to all of its details. Let E be a possible event which, had it really occurred, would have left behind enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence. If the evidence does not exist, people will not believe that E occurred. [Emphasis in original]
If you buy Gottlieb's argument, Jewish belief about Sinai almost must be correct. If you buy Lebens's argument, the most you get is that the witnesses thought they had seen something miraculous. Of course, how much should we care about what illiterate, scientifically ignorant former slaves thought about miracles? I do not use the descriptors to belittle these people, but to set some context on what we are being asked to accept and to rationalize.

So, rKP doesn't work for me. It's a series of assumption after assumption that gets us not to reasoned belief but to a question of trust: do we or do we not believe according to what the Torah tells us illiterate, scientifically ignorant former slaves believed?

In rKP, the Kuzari Principle is neutered, but I think Lebens understands that it must be so. He says:
As far as I'm concerned, that is the only power that the Kuzari argument could possibly hope for: the power to justify our belief in Sinai, or something like Sinai, without direct historical evidence. But you'd still need something like 'indirect' historical evidence; i.e., evidence about how myths were formed in ancient times. I'm not claiming that we can arrive at justified historical beliefs a priori. I look forward to continued discussion with you, and to your answers to these questions. I'm certainly far from convinced that the Kuzari argument is even as strong as I suggested in this post.
Neither Gottlieb's not Lebens's Kuzari justifies belief in Sinai, in my opinion. I still hold to the view from my piece on Hiroshima and Nagasaki:
With Sinai, we have one report given from one perspective. We don't know the report of the people closest to the mountain. We don't know the observations of witnesses in the very back. We cannot hear the voices of the women, the outsiders, and the opponents. We have no documents from the nations closest to Sinai telling us about something most unusual having happened. The strongest inference we can draw from Sinai is that something--a natural event or some other fantastic occurrence--may have happened out in the wilderness. We may even be able to justify saying something must have happened. We cannot, however, say with any confidence that Sinai happened. Kuzari changes nothing about this because even if the principle itself is 100 percent true, it doesn't tell us anything about what exactly happened at Sinai, how, to whom, over what time period, and at what stakes. It's a believer's reason to believe, a "nice to have." But it's not especially compelling to a neutral observer.

And that's why at this point it's best to leave the discussion because, with Sinai, the one thing we have not talked about is the one thing we should have been talking about all along: The actual evidence that we have for the actual people we think correspond to "Biblical Israel." Although this has been a fascinating discussion on logic, belief, and classification of events, we cannot get very far without a collection of real evidence and data. I have already shown that the pro-Kuzari side is not forthcoming when it comes to direct, positive evidence. We cannot derive a clear picture of Biblical Israel, Sinai, or the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki based on a principle. If we truly want to understand the events and these people, we need to study the writings and the physical data, and we need to remember not to get carried away by the existence or non-existence of evidence. The evidence often means what we want it to mean, and the non-evidence doesn't tell us much of anything.
I also think that Kuzari proponents need to go beyond new Kuzari syllogisms. My challenge from an earlier posts still stands:
If the Kuzari discussion is to continue and be productive, it now falls to Kuzari's champions to delve more deeply into the reality of the Torah--the reality of the Torah as a cultural document that emerged in historical time in certain cultural contexts.
Sam, I'm interested in your thoughts. Do you think that Kuzari-oriented discussions will benefit from bringing in historical data, biblical criticism, and sociological studies?

6 comments:

  1. In short, as an answer to the final question.
    Yes!
    I'm not sure that biblical criticism and ancient history need be all that relevant to my religious life, as my religious life might be about engaging with the first five books of the bible, as if they were written by God.
    But, if one is interested in proving the Kuzari principle to be sound, one will have to prove that all of its premises (including rKP1) are true. That cannot be done without offering rigiourous definitions of the key terms and engaging with source criticism, archeology and other relevant sciences to prove or disprove the premise.
    But, the first thing we have to do is to find out whether the argument is valid (which is to say, whether the truth of its premises would be enough to entail the conclusion). That much, I think I'm able to do, although the conclusion is less exciting than Rabbi Gottleib's.

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  2. Sam,

    I understand your point about finding out whether the argument is valid. Honestly, it doesn't feel so to me, but I am not a trained philosopher. As best I can formulate it, the connections between premises don't always strike me as "connected" in a necessary way. I'm not sure all the premises are needed to get to rKP9--at least in my translation.

    But remember that your rKP9 offers "an extraordinary sequence of supernatural events, and events that would have been collectively understood as Divine revelation." Well, where before did "supernatural" come into play? I don't think, for instance, that rKP4 gets you there.

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  3. > (rKP1) A myth will not initially find any traction with a culture who know it to be historically inaccurate,

    Definitely not true. If you specify that the myth is not a myth in popular sense, but is presented as historical fact, then maybe (though not definitely). But a myth as a story?

    Anyway, why would he think that the people who first developed the story had any idea that it wasn’t historically accurate? Even today, people have a shaky sense of history. The further back in time you go, the worse it gets. For that matter, perhaps the originators were a small group of gullible people, like the first Mormons, and just believed that TMS had happened because someone in authority (maybe Ezra?) said so.

    “(rKP2) c” is false. Navi records that the chain was broken. Besides, the whole point just isn’t true. “Entire generation” makes it sound like millions of people. The entire generation could have been three guys who believed a fourth who told them this had happened to their ancient ancestors, dragged their wives along in the new cult, and ten generations later had spawned a relgion.

    (rKP9) doesn’t follow. If we grant the rest of the premises, maybe we can get to, “Something of significance happened.” But we cannot claim that the “Jewish people were collectively witness to an extraordinary sequence of supernatural events” as it’s entirely plausible, even within his framework, to say that the supernatural elements are embellishments.

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  4. james kugel addresses the idea in how to read the bible that the national revelation idea started under king david who unified the jews. i think page 231 or 232 of the soft cover book.

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  5. Tuvia,

    Thank you for the citation. I'm not sure I read Kugel's text as saying the national revelation idea started under David. Kugel himself does not support such an idea, I think.

    In this section of HTRTB, I take the important point to be that prose narratives in the Bible, such as the exodus and national revelation served to unite the northern and southern parts of David's kingdom and later developed separately in those parts, becoming the J and E collections.

    As I said, I don't read Kugel as being on board with this hypothesis. But he brings the hypothesis up to illustrate, as he has been throughout the book, how modern scholars have tried to figure out how the Bible came to its present form, and why.

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  6. >>>(rKP1) A myth will not initially find any traction with a culture who know it to be historically inaccurate
    I suggest it may depend at least the following issues:
    1) The strength and the nature of the type of evidences for historical inaccuracy.
    2) What portions of the myth are known to be inaccurate. If some parts of the myth are true and some parts are known to be false, some people can rationalize and accept the whole myth.
    3) The nature of the people. If they are superstitions they can rationalize away the inaccuracy and let the myth gain traction. Or they may have other reasons (economic, religious, political, geopolitical, propaganda...) to let a myth gain traction. If the people are more of scientific and skeptical mind set it may be more difficult to gain traction initially.
    4) Depends who is telling the people the myth. Charismatic leaders can be convincing. Trusted authorities, are often just trusted by some people.
    5) Myths can become slowly accepted over time. They may have originally be known to be false, but that knowledge was lost or rejected, and then the myth gains traction. A somewhat similar thing happened in modern times and is called the Angles of Mons.
    6) Peer pressure - if some people have reason to perpetuate a false myth, they can use propaganda and coercion to “encourage” others to accept the myth.

    >>> ,although once it has been adopted and becomes culturally significant, then a culture will not abandon it merely because of its historical inaccuracies.
    I suggest it may depend at least the following issues:
    (a) Depends on how the people develop over future generations. If the people become more educated and scientific minded it would seem there should be more abandonment.
    (b) Also you can see how some of my above listed comments in this post apply and they interact with how the people develop over time and with changing political, economic.....situations. For example if a new leader arises he can persuade people to abandon the myth.
    (c) People can rationalize away evidence that is presented that refutes their beliefs. For example the Cargo Cults.
    Bottom line is I would reject rKP1.
    It is known myth formation and acceptance is often strange and irrational.

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Feel free to comment if you have something substantial and substantiated to say.